Virginia Tech
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
101  Katie Kennedy SR 19:58
218  Mikayla Richardson SO 20:18
250  Sarah Edwards SO 20:24
313  Laurie Barton SO 20:32
342  Sara Freix SO 20:36
413  Lauren Berman JR 20:43
622  Rachel Pocratsky JR 21:01
919  Ellie Brush FR 21:22
1,137  Amanda Swaak JR 21:37
1,512  Alyssa Shupe JR 22:00
2,543  Shannon Quinn JR 23:20
National Rank #34 of 348
Southeast Region Rank #6 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 34.2%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 8.2%


Regional Champion 0.4%
Top 5 in Regional 60.4%
Top 10 in Regional 99.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Kennedy Mikayla Richardson Sarah Edwards Laurie Barton Sara Freix Lauren Berman Rachel Pocratsky Ellie Brush Amanda Swaak Alyssa Shupe Shannon Quinn
Virginia Tech Alumni Invitational 09/15 1103 20:43 20:42 21:20 21:35 23:00
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 797 20:16 20:30 20:24 20:47 21:13 20:53 21:08 21:36 21:51 24:09
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 22:01 23:24
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 599 20:01 20:31 20:11 20:27 20:16 20:56
ACC Championship 10/27 592 20:05 20:07 20:22 20:13 20:39 20:38 20:58 21:41 21:58 22:34
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 462 19:41 19:57 20:01 21:25 20:13 20:35 21:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 34.2% 24.3 588 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.9 1.0 2.2 2.8 2.4 3.0 2.7 3.2 3.3 2.5
Region Championship 100% 5.0 170 0.4 6.0 16.2 18.9 19.0 20.1 10.9 5.4 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Kennedy 38.9% 85.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Mikayla Richardson 34.3% 143.8 0.1
Sarah Edwards 34.3% 159.2
Laurie Barton 34.2% 181.6
Sara Freix 34.2% 186.7
Lauren Berman 34.2% 201.1
Rachel Pocratsky 34.2% 228.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Kennedy 16.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.9 5.3 4.9 5.6 5.8 6.3 5.8 6.0 5.7 5.1 5.4 4.0 3.4 2.6 2.6
Mikayla Richardson 28.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.6 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.6 3.7 4.0
Sarah Edwards 33.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.2 1.4 1.3 1.3 2.0 2.4 2.2 2.9 2.8 2.8
Laurie Barton 42.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.3
Sara Freix 45.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.0 0.7 1.1 1.1
Lauren Berman 53.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4
Rachel Pocratsky 75.7 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 1
2 6.0% 100.0% 6.0 6.0 2
3 16.2% 50.0% 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.7 8.1 8.1 3
4 18.9% 40.7% 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.7 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.7 11.2 7.7 4
5 19.0% 33.8% 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.8 12.6 6.4 5
6 20.1% 21.4% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.7 15.8 4.3 6
7 10.9% 9.6% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 9.9 1.1 7
8 5.4% 3.7% 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.2 0.2 8
9 1.8% 5.6% 0.1 0.1 1.7 0.1 9
10 0.9% 0.9 10
11 0.5% 0.5 11
12 0.2% 0.2 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 34.2% 0.4 6.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.7 2.3 4.4 3.8 3.7 4.1 3.2 3.3 65.8 6.4 27.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 58.3% 1.0 0.6
Ohio State 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Louisville 33.4% 1.0 0.3
SMU 20.8% 1.0 0.2
Samford 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Missouri 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Duke 4.9% 2.0 0.1
Arizona 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.5% 2.0 0.0
Abilene Christian 1.6% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dayton 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 8.0